Sauter vs. younger Dillon for truck title?
Autoracing Betting Lines
02/22/2012 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Series: NASCAR Camping World Truck. Date:
Friday, February 24. Race: NextEra Energy Resources 250. Site: Daytona
International Speedway. Track: 2.5-mile tri-oval. Start time: 7:30 p.m. (et).
Laps: 100. Miles: 250. 2010 winner: Michael Waltrip. Television: SPEED. Radio:
Motor Racing Network (MRN)/SIRIUS NASCAR Satellite.
The 2012 Camping World Truck Series kicks off Friday night at Daytona
International Speedway.
With 2011 truck champion Austin Dillon now a full-time competitor in the
Nationwide Series, Johnny Sauter, who finished six points behind Dillon last
year, is the preseason favorite to win the title.
Sauter concluded last season by winning the rain-shortened race at Homestead-
Miami Speedway. During the offseason, Sauter's team, ThorSport Racing,
switched from Chevrolet to Toyota.
"The biggest thing we can do is look back at last season and see where did we
lose points and what could we have done to prevent that," he said. "I think
coming out in 2012 with the Toyota support and changing manufacturers, new
sponsors -- essentially my whole team is back and my crew chief (Joe Shear
Jr.), I feel like we can pick up right where we left off and ultimately try to
win races and a championship."
Rookie Ty Dillon is next in line as a title contender in the series this year.
Dillon, the 2011 ARCA Racing Series champion, is replacing his elder brother,
Austin, in Richard Childress Racing's No. 3 truck. Ty, who will turn 20 years
old Monday, made three starts in trucks last season. His best finish of third
came last November at Texas. He also placed sixth at Homestead.
"I think we can go out there and do our best to be competitive each week,"
Dillon said. "We went to a lot of tracks last year on the ARCA Racing Series
schedule that we had never raced before and brought home some good finishes. I
think with the help of my RCR teammates, we'll be able to put up more good
finishes this season in the NASCAR Camping World Truck Series."
Ron Hornaday Jr., the four-time truck champion, makes his debut with Joe
Denette Motorsports. Hornaday had driven for Kevin Harvick Inc. for the past
seven years, but KHI shut down its Nationwide and truck operations at the end
of last season.
"It was just three months ago that I didn't have a job," Hornaday said. "KHI
was closing their doors, and I was at a crossroads. I was introduced to (team
owner) Joe (Denette) through Hermie Sadler, and the rest is history. Joe is a
true race fan, and all he wants to do is win. I believe he has put the right
people in place and has given this team all the tools they need to get the job
done."
Hornaday holds the series record with 51 race wins, but has to score a victory
at Daytona. The series has been competing at this track each year since 2000.
Brad Keselowski is the only Sprint Cup regular competing in this race. Ward
Burton, the 2002 Daytona 500, is making his first start in a NASCAR national
touring series event since October 2007.
Forty-four teams are on the preliminary entry list for the NextEra Energy
Resources 250.
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What Is the Point Spread?
In any football or basketball game (the main sports that use point spreads) there are two teams playing against each other.
Those teams, though, are rarely exactly evenly matched – meaning that typically one team has a better chance than the other to win the game. If bettors were allowed to bet on who was simply going to win the game, smart ones would obviously bet on the better team (likely winning more than 50% of the time in the process).
If winning were that easy the Las Vegas and online sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in: the basic function of the point spread is to balance the likelihood of each team “winning” by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment is made you get the Against The Spread result (ATS result for short).
Let’s look at Super Bowl XXXIX, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Most people believed the defending champ Patriots to be the better team – so if betting were simply based upon which team would win the game, an uneven majority of people would have wagered on New England. But, by using the point spread, the bookmakers adjusted the terms of the bet, evening the proposition so about half the people believed the Pats to be the smart bet, while the other half considered Philly to be the smart bet.
How to Read Point Spreads
New England Patriots -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The better team, called the Favorite, is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with a minus sign and the number of points they are favored by (e.g., New England -7)
In the case of our example, New England must not only win the game, but they must win by more than 7 points for Pats bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor wins his bet either if:
- Philly wins the actual game by any amount of points
OR
- Philly loses the game by less than 7 points.
-
There was also the possibility that the final score could land exactly on the spread number (for example, the Pats winning 28-21 when -7), which is called a “push” or “no action” and a refund is then issued to bettors of both teams.
The same game with the same point spread can be considered from the weaker team’s perspective: The Underdog (Philly in the case of our example) is not expected to win the game and online football betting thus receives or “gets” points given by the stronger team. When a game is stated from the underdog’s perspective the team is listed with a plus sign and the number of points they are underdogs by:
Philadelphia Eagles +7 vs. New England Patriots
Keep in mind that Philadelphia +7 and New England -7 is the same point spread on the same game, simply stated differently. The first is from the underdog’s perspective; the later is from the favorite’s.
For Those Who Like to Consider Things Mathematically
Not a must, but for some a mathematical approach is insightful. You can determine the ATS winner by either:
- Subtracting the point spread from the favorite’s score (thus the minus sign before the number) and then compare to the underdog’s score
OR
- Adding the point spread to the underdog’s score (thus the plus sign before the number) and then compare to the favorite’s score
Let’s look at the actual result of Super Bowl XXXIX: New England 24 Philadelphia 21
The favorite, New England, won the game but not by more than the point spread they were favored by (7), so the ATS result was a LOSS for Pats bettors.
Looking at it from the underdog’s perspective, Philly did not win the game, but they lost by less than the point spread (7), so the ATS result was a WIN for Eagle bettors.
Mathematically considered, 24 for the favorite Pats minus 7 equals 17, which is less than the 20 the Eagles scored, so the underdog Eagles win the ATS result (or you could figure 20 plus 7 equals 27 for the Eagles, which is more than 24 for the Pats).
Emily’s boyfriend understood the point spread and wagered $100 on the Eagles at +7. The Eagles may not have gotten a Super Bowl ring, but since they won the ATS result Emily’s boyfriend cashed his bet – giving him money to take her out to a nice dinner.
And now hopefully you understand how to read point spreads, putting you one step closer to joining the fun of sports betting.
To visit this internet sportsbook go to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting and World Series odds.
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