Pack 'em in for the Daytona 500
Autoracing Betting Lines
02/22/2012 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Series: NASCAR Sprint Cup. Date: Sunday,
February 26. Race: Daytona 500. Site: Daytona International Speedway. Track:
2.5-mile tri-oval. Start time: 1:00 p.m. (et). Laps: 200. Miles: 500. 2011
Winner: Trevor Bayne. Television: FOX. Radio: Motor Racing Network (MRN)
/SIRIUS NASCAR Satellite.
This year's Daytona 500 is shaping up to be another thriller, perhaps more
breathtaking than last year's season opener at Daytona International Speedway.
Why?
After what we saw in last Saturday night's Budweiser Shootout, the pack is
back and the two-car tandems are pretty much gone at Daytona. And the drivers
as well as the fans are happy to see the big draft return.
"This is a lot more fun than the two-car stuff was," reigning Sprint Cup
Series champion Tony Stewart said after finishing second in the Budweiser
Shootout. "I still like the open motor races better where we can literally
control our own destiny, but this is by far a lot better than what we had with
the two-car stuff."
Since the most recent restrictor-plate race -- last October at Talladega
Superspeedway -- NASCAR has made numerous modifications to the Sprint Cup
cars, including alterations to the restrictor plates and the front grille
openings. NASCAR anticipated the changes would drastically reduce the number
of two-car breakaways and bring back the packs.
The Budweiser Shootout featured three big crashes, including the final one
that involved eight cars. Jeff Gordon endured the worst of that incident when
his car got turned upside down and then flipped several times before it came
to rest on its roof along the backstretch.
Kyle Busch remarkably bounced back from two near wrecks and then beat Stewart
to the finish line by inches to win the preseason, non-points race at Daytona.
Busch made a sling-shot pass on Stewart for the lead coming out of the final
turn of the last lap.
Stewart begins his title defense at Daytona with a lot of new faces on his
team this year, including crew chief Steve Addington.
Three months ago, Stewart won at Homestead-Miami Speedway and finished the
season in a points tie with Carl Edwards. Stewart captured the title by virtue
of his five wins for the season -- all of them coming in the 10-race Chase for
the Sprint Cup. Edwards had only one victory for the year -- Las Vegas.
As of now, Stewart is tied with Bobby Allison for the second-most race wins at
Daytona with 16. Stewart has three wins in both the Coke Zero 400 (July Sprint
Cup race) and the Budweiser Shootout as well as two victories in the Gatorade
Duel. He also has six Nationwide race victories and two in IROC events at this
track.
But Stewart has yet to win the Daytona 500 in 13 attempts.
"Two tracks we haven't won at and the Daytona 500 we haven't won at everything
else we have pretty much accomplished in this sport that we want to
accomplish," Stewart said. "It's the biggest race of the year. Everyone wants
to win that race. I won't say that it is not a complete career if you don't
win it, but there is a lot of priority on this. Darrell Waltrip and Dale
(Earnhardt) Sr. both had to go a long time before they got it."
It took Earnhardt 20 attempts to win the Daytona 500. Waltrip's first win in
this race came after 17 years of trying.
Edwards' lap at 194.738 mph during last Sunday's time trials earned him the
pole position for the 54th running of the Daytona 500. Edwards has now
accumulated 11 career poles in the series, including one last November at
Homestead.
"It feels really nice," he said. "This is our second pole in a row. Feels nice
to pick up right where we left off."
Dale Jarrett is the last driver to win the Daytona 500 from the pole, doing so
in 2000. Edwards' best finish in this race is second, which came last year.
There have been 11 different drivers who have won the Daytona 500 since 2000.
Trevor Bayne is the defending race winner. One day after turning 20 years old,
Bayne shocked the auto racing world by taking the checkered flag for NASCAR's
most prestigious event of the season. He did it in just his second Sprint Cup
start.
Can Bayne pull off another stunning victory in the Daytona 500?
"That's the plan," he said. "We wouldn't have come if we didn't think we could
win. There's a little bit more pressure this year. We're not exactly flying
under the radar, but I think we can go for it, that's for sure."
If Bayne wins Sunday's race, he would join Richard Petty (1973-74), Cale
Yarborough (1983-84) and Sterling Marlin (1994-95) as those drivers who won
back-to-back Daytona 500s.
The Daytona 500 also will mark the highly anticipated debut of Danica Patrick
in Sprint Cup. Patrick is guaranteed a starting position in the race, since
her No.10 Tommy Baldwin Racing team is in the top 35 for owner points. TBR
recently formed an alliance with Stewart-Haas Racing to assure her a spot in
the race.
"I have a fast car, so I think that's taken care of, but I think it's going to
take some good breaks and a patient race, staying out of trouble," Patrick
said. "You know it would be nice to kind of keep toward the front. I've found
that when you are up near the front, away from the thick of things, you're
much less likely to be caught in an accident that smoke is filled the air to
and you can't miss or you can't see. But I think luck is going to play a big
factor."
Patrick will become the third female to start the Daytona 500, following Janet
Guthrie (1977 and '80) and Shawna Robinson (2002).
<< Gatorade Duels: Who's in and who's not in the Daytona 500?
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Series: NASCAR Sprint Cup. Date: Thursday,
February 23. Race: Gatorade Duel twin-qualifying races. Site: Daytona
International Speedway. Track: 2.5-mile tri-oval. Start time: 2:00 p.m. (et).
Laps: 60 (each ra
<< Company sues Marlins based on auction bid
Ft. Lauderdale, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Miami Marlins are being sued for
damages by a corporation that says it won a bid to buy the team at an auction
more than four years ago.
In a complaint filed in the 17th Judicial Circuit Court
<< Hurricanes, Ruutu agree to 4-year extension
Raleigh, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Carolina Hurricanes agreed to terms with
forward Tuomo Ruutu on a four-year contract extension on Wednesday.
"Players like Tuomo are extremely difficult to replace, and it is very
important for
<< This Week in Auto Racing February 23 - 26
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Get ready for what is expected to be a
wild four days of racing at Daytona International Speedway, culminating with
Sunday's Daytona 500.
NASCAR
Sprint Cup Series
Daytona 500 - Daytona International
<< Aubameyang's hat trick topples Lorient
Saint Etienne, France (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scored a
second-half hat trick to help St Etienne to a 4-2 win over Lorient at the
Geoffrey-Guichard Stadium on Wednesday.
The match came to life after a scoreles
Stenhouse Jr. ready to get Nationwide title defense underway >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Series: NASCAR Nationwide. Date: Saturday,
February 25. Race: DRIVE4COPD 300. Site: Daytona International Speedway.
Track: 2.5-mile tri-oval. Start time: 1:15 p.m. (et). Laps: 120.
Miles: 300. 2011 Winner: To
Sauter vs. younger Dillon for truck title? >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Series: NASCAR Camping World Truck. Date:
Friday, February 24. Race: NextEra Energy Resources 250. Site: Daytona
International Speedway. Track: 2.5-mile tri-oval. Start time: 7:30 p.m. (et).
Laps: 100. Miles:
Basel leaves it late to shock Bayern >>
Basel, Switzerland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Basel continued its impressive Champions
League campaign on Wednesday, leaving it late to shock Bayern Munich with a
1-0 victory at St. Jakob-Park.
In a back-and-forth match where both sides traded sc
Motherwell stays hot courtesy of Higdon >>
Motherwell, Scotland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Michael Higdon's hat trick helped
Motherwell to a 4-3 win over Hibernian at Fir Park Stadium on Wednesday to
help the home side close the gap on second-place Rangers.
Isaiah Osbourne tallied
Pervak, Hradecka exit Memphis >>
Memphis, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Second seed Ksenia Pervak and third-seeded
Lucie Hradecka were second-round losers Wednesday at the $220,000 Memphis
International tennis event.
Italian Alberta Brianti erased Kazakhstan's Pervak
The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your bet on college football needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
|