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Drill masters San Vicente StakesHorseracing Betting Lines02/19/2012 - Arcadia, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Drill, ridden by Martin Garcia, held off American Act to win Sunday's $150,000 San Vicente Stakes for three-year-olds at Santa Anita Park. The colt covered the seven-furlongs in 1:21.28 on a fast track. The six-horse field was reduced to four with the scratches of Smoking G and Captain Obvious. Creative Cause was the 1-2 favorite, American Act was 3-1 with Drill at 7-2 and Let's Get Crackin was 11-1. American Act, ridden by Martin Pedroza, took the lead from the start with Drill running second followed by Let's Get Crackin and Creative Cause. On the turn for home Drill drew even with American Act as Creative Cause went three wide to take over third. Coming out of the turn it looked like the favorite was going to join the top two runners on the lead. Creative Cause could not sustain his move as Drill took the lead from American Act. In the last 100 yards American Act fought back to join Drill on the lead, but Drill was able get his nose to the wire first. Creative Cause finished third and Let's Get Crackin was fourth. "I don't know what made the difference today," Garcia said. "I guess he just wanted to run. He's a really good horse so I don't know what happened in his last races, but he put everything together today. The finish was close but I was confident I got the win." Trained by Bob Baffert, Drill was making his second start of the year, coming off a fifth-place result as the 8-5 favorite in last month's San Pedro at Santa Anita. After winning in his second career start, the colt captured the Del Mar Futurity. He was 10th in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile and again failed as the favorite in the Delta Downs Jackpot two weeks later. In December he was a disappointing ninth in the CashCall Futurity at Hollywood Park. Drill, owned by Pegram, Watson and Weitman, earned $90,000 with his third win in nine career starts. The son of Lawyer Ron has total earnings of $339,710. Baffert won last year's San Vicente with The Factor. Even though Creative Cause, third in last year's Breeders' Cup Juvenile, failed as the odds-on favorite, trainer Mike Harrington was not disappointed. "We got what we wanted out of the race. He's a route horse, not a seven- furlong horse," Harrington said. "We hope he moves forward off of this. Did you see him gallop out? He'll definitely move forward." Drill returned $9.60 and $5.00, and American Act paid $4.00. There was not show wagering.
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Sportsbooks to bet on footballRecently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it. He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games. "Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote. He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games. Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk. Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible. Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines. Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy. With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season. Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas). And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.) The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors. While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger. Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under. One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it. Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami. What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5. That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well. MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple. "The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money. "At the end of the day, we liked the home team." So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams. In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish. MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover. The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing. Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed. MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash. To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards. |
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